Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.002350 0.002491 0.002640 0.002813 0.003006 0.003219 0.003472
2025-02-09 0.002186 0.002387 0.002614 0.002893 0.003231 0.003635 0.004168
2025-02-16 0.002041 0.002275 0.002551 0.002905 0.003360 0.003944 0.004786
2025-02-23 0.001970 0.002236 0.002559 0.002993 0.003584 0.004399 0.005697
2025-03-02 0.001861 0.002137 0.002480 0.002955 0.003627 0.004605 0.006294
2025-03-09 0.001758 0.002035 0.002386 0.002884 0.003610 0.004713 0.006753
2025-03-16 0.001717 0.002010 0.002389 0.002941 0.003780 0.005137 0.007919
2025-03-23 0.001678 0.001982 0.002384 0.002985 0.003934 0.005562 0.009287
2025-03-30 0.001617 0.001923 0.002330 0.002952 0.003960 0.005763 0.010257
2025-04-06 0.001547 0.001845 0.002248 0.002867 0.003890 0.005768 0.010733
2025-04-13 0.001497 0.001794 0.002198 0.002828 0.003890 0.005913 0.011699
2025-04-20 0.001414 0.001695 0.002076 0.002671 0.003673 0.005579 0.011017
2025-04-27 0.001386 0.001671 0.002065 0.002691 0.003779 0.005962 0.013064
2025-05-04 0.001373 0.001669 0.002084 0.002762 0.003986 0.006634 0.017222
2025-05-11 0.001344 0.001643 0.002067 0.002771 0.004080 0.007076 0.021460
2025-05-18 0.001336 0.001646 0.002092 0.002852 0.004328 0.008015 0.033285
2025-05-25 0.001300 0.001606 0.002051 0.002817 0.004332 0.008274 0.041533
2025-06-01 0.001259 0.001559 0.001996 0.002752 0.004265 0.008298 0.047535
2025-06-08 0.001248 0.001554 0.002006 0.002804 0.004459 0.009256 0.102043
2025-06-15 0.001235 0.001545 0.002010 0.002844 0.004634 0.010271 0.651876
2025-06-22 0.001207 0.001515 0.001977 0.002814 0.004640 0.010640 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001172 0.001470 0.001920 0.002736 0.004523 0.010443 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001146 0.001441 0.001886 0.002700 0.004504 0.010683 NaN